Determination May 13, 2026 Doc #2026-09624

Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012

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Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 1245(d)(4)(B) and (C) of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012
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In Simple Terms

The President says the world has enough oil from places other than Iran. This lets the United States keep pushing other countries and banks to cut their oil deals with Iran.

Summary

President Donald Trump issued this presidential determination to certify that enough oil and petroleum products are available from countries other than Iran. Based on reports from the Energy Information Administration and other factors such as global economic conditions and strategic reserves, the determination says the market can support a significant reduction in purchases of Iranian petroleum made by or through foreign financial institutions. The action is issued under section 1245 of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012, which requires this kind of finding. It also directs the Secretary of State to publish the determination in the Federal Register and notes that the administration will continue monitoring the situation.

Official Record

Federal Register Published

Signed by the President

May 07, 2026

Published in Federal Register

View on Federal Register View Printed Version (PDF)

May 13, 2026

Document #2026-09624

Analysis & Impact

💡 How This May Affect You

  • Working families may see limited direct effects; fuel prices could shift slightly with global oil supply changes.
  • Small businesses with delivery or energy costs may face modest fuel-price changes affecting transportation and operating expenses.
  • Students and recent graduates may see little immediate impact, except possible changes in commuting and travel costs.
  • Retirees and seniors on fixed incomes may be sensitive to any gasoline or home energy price changes.
  • Urban, suburban, and rural areas could feel effects differently, with rural drivers usually more exposed to fuel costs.

🏢 Key Stakeholders

  • U.S. sanctions policymakers benefit, as determination supports tighter pressure on Iran.
  • Iranian oil exporters and government face losses from reduced foreign petroleum purchases.
  • Foreign financial institutions handling Iran oil trade face compliance burdens and sanctions risk.
  • Global oil producers outside Iran benefit from redirected demand and steadier market confidence.
  • State, Treasury, and Energy Departments lead implementation, while sanctions advocates back enforcement.

📈 What to Expect

  • Sanctions pressure on Iranian oil buyers likely intensifies through renewed waiver scrutiny.
  • Importers diversify crude suppliers to preserve U.S. financial system access.

  • Oil markets show limited disruption if non-Iranian supply remains ample.

  • Iran’s oil export revenues likely face sustained pressure from reduced compliant purchases.

  • Asian refiners deepen long-term contracts with alternative suppliers, reducing reliance on Iran.

  • Enforcement gaps may sustain some Iranian exports through intermediaries and discounted shipments.

📚 Historical Context

  • Obama issued parallel Iran oil-supply determinations in 2012–2016 under NDAA section 1245.
  • Trump effectively continued pressure through broader Iran sanctions after 2018, building beyond Obama-era mechanisms.
  • Biden-era determinations also found sufficient non-Iranian supply, largely maintaining the existing sanctions architecture.
  • This 2026 action builds on long-running executive certifications enabling reduced Iranian oil purchases by foreign institutions.
  • Historically notable: despite market volatility, it preserves a bipartisan sanctions tool first activated amid 2012 Iran pressure.

Affected Agencies

Department of State Department of the Treasury Department of Energy Energy Information Administration

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